The first race of the NASCAR Playoffs Round of 8, the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400 will be taking place this coming Sunday October 16 from the Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Legas (TV—NBC, Radio—PRN, SiriusXM; 2:30 pm EDT/11:30 am PDT).
This will be the second race of the year to be held at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway (Asphalt)—located 15 miles northwest of the world famous Las Vegas Strip—with Alex Bowman winning the Pennzoil 400 back on March 6 here in Auto Racing-loving Sin City.
Last Sunday in the last race in the NASCAR Playoffs Round of 12, the 2022 Bank of America Roval 400, we saw Christoper Bell capture the checkered flag and reward his Futures book bettors handsomely at healthy 16/1 Bank of America Roval 400 odds.
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The four drivers who were eliminated after the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs Round of 12 were Kyle Larson, Daniel Suárez, Alex Bowman, and Austin Cindric. Bell sat at #11 and 45 points away from advancing, and won to keep his hopes of a championship alive.
Larson headed into the 2022 Bank of America Roval 400 sitting at #5, but he drove into a wall at Charlotte and ended up finishing just 2 points shy of the cutoff line with a 35th place finish last weekend in the 32nd race of the NASCAR Cup Series calendar year. So we have 8 NASCAR Cup Series drivers left still fighting for the 2022 NASCAR Cup Championship, with Chase Elliott (Chevrolet) and Hendrick Motorsports having already captured the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Regular Season championship back on August 21.
Here were current betting odds (Thursday) to win the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs championship from BetOnline, one of the sharpest NASCAR betting sites with numerous Props market and extremely accurate and moving NASCAR Cup Series betting odds:
A table for eight, please. #NASCARPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/s1GUix5cSm
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 13, 2022
South Point 400 Top 5 Finish Odds
Driver
Odds
Denny Hamlin
-125
Chase Elliott
-1200
Christopher Bell
Even
Ross Chastain
Even
Tyler Reddick
+100
Ryan Blaney
-120
Kyle Larson
-120
Kyle Busch
+150
Bell Has Been Ringing Consistently
With elimination likely, Christopher Bell (8/1 to win South Point 400, BetOnline) got the big Win in the 2022 Bank of America Roval 400 and the points he needed to make the cut for the final 8 and heading here to Las Vegas where it often rains poker chips on Tuesdays.
Bell (Toyota) and his No. 20 car have been very hot lately, and he picked the right time and has had four Top 5 finishes in the last 6 races. Before finishing 1st last week at Charlotte, Bell was 17th at Talladega on October 2 and ended up 34th at Texas on September 25.
But in the three races prior to that, Bell was in the mix and had three straight Top 5 finishes at Bristol (4th place), at Kansas (3rd place), and at Darlington (5th place), so he has been one of the hottest drivers on the NASCAR circuit this Fall and at the ideal time.
Sitting in 4th place now in the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship race, Bell and his team will want to keep the positivity going and Crew Chief Adam Stevens and his Pit Crew have been absolutely magnificent and have fair South Point 400 betting odds posted.
With a tenuous spot at #4 now, expect Bell and his Joe Gibbs Racing team to have another impressive performance here on Sunday afternoon as the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series begins its last 4 races of the season in the cooling-down a bit now Mojave Desert.
NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400 Top 5 Finish Props Bet:
Christopher Bell
Even
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Who got the job done on pit road last Sunday? The numbers are in from @CLTMotorSpdwy. @Mechanix_Wear | @PitStopStats pic.twitter.com/inoDLnKmCn
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 12, 2022
South Point 400 Top 10 Finish Odds
Driver
Odds
Denny Hamlin
-450
Chase Elliott
-400
Christopher Bell
-350
Ross Chastain
-350
Ryan Blaney
-275
Kyle Larson
-275
Kyle Busch
-250
William Byron
-250
Top 10 Finish: Allmendinger Worth a Serious Look
NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs drivers have started off 0-for-4 so looking to someone out of these remaining final 8 to win here makes some sense, but still, it seems like a virtual crapshoot with new NextGen cars and the weekly chaos, especially in the final Stages.
The South Point 400 betting odds have Ross Chastain (Chevrolet) of Trackouse Race Team at a pricey -350 to finish in the Top 10 in Sin City this weekend, but Chastain didn’t make the Top 10 last week in Charlotte and the pressure will be on him to stay above the cutoff. Handicapping a driver who can finish in this opening race in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs Round of 8 in the Top 10 means thinking about a number of variables, and even watching the Qualification for the Pole Position the day before is always a good idea for clarity.
Cars and Drivers and teams look much different on a TV in moving pictures than on a PC or Smartphone screen with stagnant words, so if you are a serious NASCAR and plan on betting money you don’t want to lose, watching that and betting later seems very smart.
Although he may be better suited for Road courses and be known as a NASCAR Xfinity Series driver first and foremost, I really like AJ Allmendinger’s (Chevrolet) and Kaulig Racing’s chance of landing another Top 10 finish at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Why?
There is absolutely no pressure on the 40-year-old Los Gatos, California native and he drove very well last weekend down in Charlotte where he was competitively in the mix for the majority of the race and ended up finish in 4th place in his No. 16 car. Can Allmendinger win at an 80/1 longshot and become the record-setting 20th driver to win a race this 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season? You have to love the healthy South Point 400 odds here where a $20 bet would win $1,600 should Allmendinger win.
But a Top 10 finish for Allmendinger seems like a wiser wager with Even money South Point at 4/1 (+400) odds and the reigning 2021 and 2022 NASCAR Xfinity series champion has been tremendous this season when stepping up to the “big leagues” of the Cup Series.
In 5 races so far in the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season, Allmendinger has an impressive 4 Top 10 finishes—and 2 Top 5’s—with a streak of 4 consecutive Top 10 finishes in the league heading into this race in the Silver State where professional sports have really blown up.
After that aforementioned 4th-place finish last week at Charlotte, Allmendinger also finished in 7th place at Bristol (September 17) in 2nd place at Watkins Glen (August 21) and in 7th place also at the Indianapolis Road Course (July 31), so he is truly the real deal.
NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400 Top 10 Finish Props Bet:
AJ Allmendinger
+400
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How's your #NASCARPlayoffs Grid looking after Sunday? pic.twitter.com/0ZGmcbWhID
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 10, 2022
Any Joe Gibbs Car to Win the Race at +130
As we talked about up-screen, Christopher Bell and his Joe Gibbs Racing team have had 4 Top 5’s in the last 6 races and with the Toyota driver from Oklahoma staying alive with his huge and timely win last Sunday at the Charlotte Motor Speedway in the Roval 400.
Besides the red-hot Bell, Joe Gibbs Racing (Any Joe Gibbs Car to win the Race +130) features many other talented drivers who are expected to be in the field of 36 here on Sunday where the weather is forecast to be Partly Cloudy with a High of 83°.
Among them in their Toyotas should be Martin Truex Jr. (No. 19), Gibbs’ grandson Ty Gibbs (No 54), and Denny Hamlin (No. 11) and Kyle Busch (No. 18), the latter two who swapped Pit Crews for the rest of the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season back in September.
This Prop essentially is like having race favorite Hamlin (5/1), Bell (8/1), Busch (10/1), Truex Jr. (10/1) and Gibbs (80/1) all in one betting basket and it seems Hamlin, Truex, Jr. or Bell could win here although we have not seen drivers be able to win back-to-back races.
Any Joe Gibbs Car Win the South Point 400 Props Bet:
Chevrolet
+130
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All in for a ticket to the #Championship4. #NASCARPlayoffs | @LVMotorSpeedway pic.twitter.com/m0urha2tHH
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 12, 2022
NASCAR South Point 400 Winner Odds
Driver
Odds
Denny Hamlin
+500
Kyle Larson
+800
Chase Elliott
+800
Christopher Bell
+800
Tyler Reddick
+900
Ross Chastain
+900
Kyle Busch
+1000
Martin Truex Jr.
+1000
Ryan Blaney
+1100
William Byron
+1100
Bubba Wallace
+1400
Joey Logano
+1600
Kevin Harvick
+2800
South Point 400 Betting Odds Like a Crapshoot on Sunday
With a record-tying 19 different winners this 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season, it has been hard for NASCAR bettors to pin down weekly Race winners and this has always been a Futures market nearly impossible to pinpoint withe men doing oval-circles in race cars.
Betting Futures is a combination of weighing many different elements in the race handicap, and NASCAR Cup series Props markets seem to offer up more of a chance for the Auto Racing bettor to actually cash in winning tickets.
In the NASCAR Playoffs, it seems to be drivers below the cutoff line at whatever point in the season they are at who end up winning, although Elliott and last weekend’s winner Bell were and still are both alive and fighting for the championship in this final eight.
One thing good Futures bettors do is logically eliminate as many drivers as possible from a race who you think have no chance to end up getting the checkered flag in a given race, and Drivers with odds of 50/1 or higher have had few Wins so toss out anyone 50/1 +.
NASCAR Cup Series favorites have also performed pretty poorly this 2022 season, so eliminating the oddsmakers chalk—in this case Denny Hamlin—will narrow the South Point 400 betting odds possibilities down by one driver in the 36-car race on Sunday.
Here we may see RS champ and points leader Elliott, Hamlin, Bell, Logano, Reddick (9/1), Chastain (9/1), Truex, Jr. (10/1), longshot Allmendinger and maybe even a mad Larson all in the mix in Las Vegas with a possible Chevrolet-Toyota duel in the desert on the final lap.
2022 South Point 400 Winning Driver Pick:
Martin Truex, Jr.
(10/1)
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